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Two Things a Good Horse Racing System Has to Have

By Bill Peterson

 

If you are like most people who play the horses, bet on horse races, then you have probably tried a racing system. There are literally thousands of them out there. Some are quite good, and while I've never found one that will make you rich right out of the box, there are some that will help you to become a better handicapper and put some winners under your belt.


Before you put down your hard earned cash for a system, there are some things to be considered. Of course, the cash outlay should be offset by the profit. That goes without saying. But there are two other things that every good method of picking winners should have.

Every system should offer


1. A style that suits your personal tastes and personality. 2. A money back, no questions asked, guarantee.


First of all, it should suit your style of playing the races. If you like a lot of action and playing exotics, then that is what your handicapping method should offer. On the other hand, if you like a steady methodical progression then your method should also suit your betting style. The problem with many methods is that they ask you to immediately get out of your comfort zone and into an area of horseplaying that you have never encountered. When you do that you are not likely to be at your best.


There are methods that go for big scores on long shots and others that offer value in the mid range of bets. There are even some that promise to make you money by betting favorites. Once again, its up to what you want. The system should fit you, not the other way around.


The next thing every horseracing system should have, and this is an absolute must, is a money back guarantee. When the seller offers a guarantee of a complete refund, that is the ultimate sign of confidence in the product. When you buy a product that is delivered digitally online and the seller will refund your money once you have received the product, you, the consumer, can have complete confidence. Another good sign is if the seller accepts Paypal and has a positive rating. You can check by looking for the number beside the sellers email address or name.


Obviously, when a seller is willing to give a complete refund when the buyer has already received the product, the seller is also taking a risk. There are some unscrupulous people who will take advantage of the situation and buy the product and use it, yet still demand a refund. I've seen a few of those types in my life and they usually wind up losing anyways because they are the same ones who are always looking for a way to cheat someone and as we all know, that stuff has a way of coming back on you.


A good seller knows that most people are honest and is willing to treat each person fairly. With something as risky as buying a horse racing handicapping system online, good faith by the seller is an excellent sign.


So to sum it up, find a system that suits your style. Demand a money back guarantee to show good faith by the seller, and have realistic expectations. No method that someone sells you will automatically make you rich, but it should help you to be a better handicapper.


The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

v

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, "Horse Racing is in my blood." To see all Bill's horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html - Bill's handicapping store.


Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson

http://EzineArticles.com/?Two-Things-a-Good-Horse-Racing-System-Has-to-Have&id=1398042



Posted: 8:57 PM, 16/9/2008 in horseracing betting systems
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Using Jockey Trainer Combinations to Find Winners When Horse Racing Handicapping

By Bill Peterson

 

 

A lot has been written and said about using jockey and trainer combinations or statistics to find good bets. Almost everyone who handicaps horse races knows that there are some teams of jockeys and trainers that win a lot of races, or so it seems.

 

But just how important is that fact when you are handicapping horse races? For instance, let's say you see a great pair like Jose Lezcano and Anthony Dutrow, a jockey trainer combo with a 73% in the money record at Monmouth Park. How big of a factor is that?

 

The question that you really have to ask yourself is this, how much of an impact is that publicly known information having upon the odds? That is what really matters. Many racing programs and past performances now show those statistics so it is common knowledge and many people will jump all over it, or so it seems.

 

An example is the third race at Monmouth on September 10th. It was a five horse race and the team of Lezcano/Dutrow were sending a 5 year old Gelding, Lemons of Love, to post at odds of 7-2. The morning line on Lemons of Love was 3-1, so even though the connections looked pretty hot and the track handicapper thought highly of the horse, it was going off a bit over morning line odds. This isn't exactly a huge red flag waving in our faces, but it does cause us to take another look and to consider it a good bet.

 

The favorite in the race, a 6 year old gelding, Mr. Umphrey, was being sent postward by another good combination, Eddie Castro and Richard Dutrow, Jr. They have a strike rate of 58% in the money. Comparing the two rates of 58% to 75% we find that Lezcano/Dutrow are in the money 25% more often. So just looking at that one statistic, it is obvious that flat betting the Lezcano/Dutrow team will give you a 25% advantage. But now, here is the real key to finding value, Mr. Umphrey has a morning line figure of 9-5, but actually went to post at even money.

 

I realize this is a very simplistic example and I am outlining a simple process to find value, but it does make you think, doesn't it? The connections are in the money 25% more often. The horse is going off above morning line odds in a short field race. If you didn't have a lot of time to handicap the race and could only use the toteboard, morning line, and jockey/trainer stats, which horse would you bet on? The obvious answer is Lemons of Love.

 

For anyone who used that simple bit of logic, the payoff on the winner, Lemons of Love, was $9.40 3.80 3.20. Also, because Mr. Umphrey finished fourth, the exotics paid well for such a short field.

 

Whenever you are having trouble picking winners, remember this simple example, take a step back and look at the very basics and see if there isn't some obvious bit of information that can be coupled with one other bit of information to point you toward a good bet.

 

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

 

Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, "Horse Racing is in my blood." To see all Bill's horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html Bill's handicapping store.

 

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson
http://EzineArticles.com/?Using-Jockey-Trainer-Combinations-to-Find-Winners-When-Horse-Racing-Handicapping&id=1491090


Posted: 8:55 PM, 16/9/2008 in horseracing betting systems
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